27 January, 2021
Cyclone no go
The tropical low recently moved over land on western Cape York Peninsula and is no longer expected to develop into a tropical cyclone.
The tropical low remains weak and has recently moved over land on western Cape York Peninsula. The system is no longer expected to develop into a tropical cyclone.
Details of Tropical Low at 10:00 am AEST:
The tropical low failed to develop significantly over the eastern Gulf of Carpentaria, and the low level centre has recently moved over land over western Cape York Peninsula. Although the low level centre may persist in the area or even drift back over the Gulf waters in the short term, the environment will not be supportive of tropical cyclone development.
In the longer term, it is increasingly likely that the system will track eastwards off the Peninsula and over the northern Coral Sea. The environment over the area is forecast to be favourable for intensification, however if the system does eventually develop into a tropical cyclone it is expected to be too far offshore to produce significant impacts along the Queensland east coast.
The threat for widespread areas of HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING remains in place about central parts of Cape York Peninsula for the remainder of today and Thursday. Six hourly rainfall totals between 140mm to 180mm are likely near the low. Severe Weather Warnings will be issued for this area, refer to this product for ongoing updates at http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings/.
Tides will be higher than normal across the Torres Strait Islands and Gulf of Carpentaria during the next several days, but are NOT expected to exceed the Highest Astronomical Tide.
Gales are no longer expected to affect the Gulf of Carpentaria coast, or about Mornington Island.